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Breadlines Research

When the Window Determines the Result

A landed-ledger methodology note on Solana’s 350ms → 300ms transition.

Finding

The measured before/after success-rate difference changed from +0.22 percentage points in a one-hour comparison to −10.65 percentage points in a buffered six-hour comparison. The study does not support a simple causal boundary claim.

The paper documents the deterministic sample contract, window and bucket results, stability criteria, a matched prior-day control, and explicit limits of landed-ledger evidence.

It does not infer sender geography, dropped traffic, end-to-end latency, identity, intent, or causality.

Read the paper (Markdown)